Curzon Ashton 1-2 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.23/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.31
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
21.10.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
29.10.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-3 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
22.02.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
11.12.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-2
AWAY Hereford FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC edged past Curzon Ashton 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Hereford FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 56% of the ball to Hereford FC's 44%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.33 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Hereford FC?

Curzon Ashton 1-2 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 39%, draw 28%, Hereford FC 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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