Curzon Ashton 1-0 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.99/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.16
-27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
18.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
29.10.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-3 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
22.02.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
11.12.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
25.01.2020 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-0
AWAY Hereford FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton edged past Hereford FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Curzon Ashton found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 47% of the ball to Hereford FC's 53%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.50 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Hereford FC?

Curzon Ashton 1-0 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 39%, draw 25%, Hereford FC 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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