Falkirk 5-2 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.0
Over
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.55
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.07
6+
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.55 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.3
X/1
19%
4.04
X/2
11%
10.9
X/X
9%
5.72
2/1
11%
21.7
2/2
8%
8.81
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.96/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.70
+3% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
158 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 125 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
8.0 Crosses 26.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
12.10.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
24.08.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
22.07.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
23.09.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCK
29.04.2021 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 5-0 HT 3-0 Falkirk Falkirk İSK1
26.12.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İK1
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Partick Thistle 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Falkirk and 1.50 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Partick Thistle?

Falkirk 5-2 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 51%, draw 25%, Partick Thistle 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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