Malaga 1-1 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.44
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
14%
6.14
X/2
14%
5.25
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
16%
3.48
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.05/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.14
-28% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.4 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Levante
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 1.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
343 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Levante Levante 4-2 HT 2-2 Malaga Malaga İS2
17.03.2023 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
04.12.2022 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
19.04.2018 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS1
01.12.2017 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS1
02.05.2016 Malaga Malaga 3-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
1-1
AWAY Levante
1.79 xG 2.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
429 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga and Levante couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Malaga had 61% of the ball to Levante's 39%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.79 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malaga and 1.17 for Levante.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Levante?

Malaga 1-1 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malaga 34%, draw 27%, Levante 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Levante), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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