Racing Ferrol 1-3 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Feb 2025

Racing Ferrol
1-3 HT 0-2
CD Castellon
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Ferrol vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.73
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.45
X/2
14%
5.17
X/X
15%
4.04
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.34
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.34
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Racing Ferrol vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-2D-2L
AWAY CD Castellon
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.34 xG 1.39
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
154 Passes 359
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.11.2024 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
15.06.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
20.01.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
23.04.2006 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
20.11.2005 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2

Racing Ferrol 1-3 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-3
AWAY CD Castellon
1.34 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
357 Passes 243
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon saw off Racing Ferrol 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; CD Castellon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 58% of the ball to CD Castellon's 42%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.63 — on chances, Racing Ferrol could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Racing Ferrol and 0.60 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs CD Castellon?

Racing Ferrol 1-3 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 33%, draw 26%, CD Castellon 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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