Darmstadt 98 0-3 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 29% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.07
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
16%
5.43
X/2
15%
6.79
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
5%
23.4
2/2
11%
4.36
2/X
11%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.56/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.63
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.3 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Elversberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 2.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 8
353 Passes 342
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 29
32 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 4-0 HT 2-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
20.12.2013 Elversberg Elversberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL3
20.07.2013 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
0-3
AWAY Elversberg
0.50 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
270 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg ran out comfortable winners over Darmstadt 98 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Elversberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 43% of the ball to Elversberg's 57%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.50 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.33 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Elversberg?

Darmstadt 98 0-3 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 39%, draw 28%, Elversberg 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ BTTS Yes
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