Elversberg 4-0 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.49
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.79
X/2
12%
5.81
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.52
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.45/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.34
+19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
15.9 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
20.12.2013 Elversberg Elversberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL3
20.07.2013 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
4-0
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.41 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 11
342 Passes 353
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg cruised past Darmstadt 98 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Elversberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Elversberg had 48% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 52%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.41 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Elversberg and 1.50 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98?

Elversberg 4-0 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 38%, draw 25%, Darmstadt 98 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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