Kaiserslautern 3-4 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

Kaiserslautern
3-4 HT 2-1
Hertha Berlin
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.24
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
11%
5.3
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
17%
4.12
2/X
9%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Hertha Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.49/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.41
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
20.6 Crosses 19.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.63 xG 1.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
255 Passes 402
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-1 HT 2-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
31.01.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 0-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AFK
09.12.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-2 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
25.09.2013 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
25.02.2013 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
22.09.2012 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2

Kaiserslautern 3-4 Hertha Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
3-4
AWAY Hertha Berlin
2.44 xG 2.35
36% Ball Possession 64%
24 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 7
172 Passes 389
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
39 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin nicked a narrow win over Kaiserslautern 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Hertha Berlin made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 36% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 64%, shots finished 24-18, expected goals 2.44 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.50 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin?

Kaiserslautern 3-4 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 38%, draw 27%, Hertha Berlin 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kaiserslautern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024
14:00 Hamburg vs Preussen Münster Analysis →
14:00 Nürnberg vs Magdeburg Analysis →
14:00 Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98 Analysis →