Magdeburg 3-4 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Feb 2025

Magdeburg
3-4 HT 1-3
Nürnberg
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Magdeburg vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.69
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
12%
7.46
X/X
12%
5.91
2/1
7%
20.7
2/2
15%
4.67
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.41
-20% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.1 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Magdeburg vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
478 Passes 254
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-4 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
09.03.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
01.10.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
12.05.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
06.11.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2

Magdeburg 3-4 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
3-4
AWAY Nürnberg
2.15 xG 1.83
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
458 Passes 215
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg edged past Magdeburg 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Nürnberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 65% of the ball to Nürnberg's 35%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.15 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Magdeburg and 1.00 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Nürnberg?

Magdeburg 3-4 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 39%, draw 26%, Nürnberg 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Magdeburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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