Magdeburg 0-1 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

Magdeburg
0-1 HT 0-0
Nürnberg
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Magdeburg vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
20%
4.36
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
12%
6.02
2/1
6%
20.45
2/2
8%
6.07
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.53/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.72
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
16.3 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Magdeburg vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
424 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
12.05.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
06.11.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2

Magdeburg 0-1 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
0-1
AWAY Nürnberg
0.55 xG 0.69
76% Ball Possession 24%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
703 Passes 184
93% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg nicked a narrow win over Magdeburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Magdeburg at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magdeburg had 76% of the ball to Nürnberg's 24%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.55 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Magdeburg and 1.33 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Nürnberg?

Magdeburg 0-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 51%, draw 26%, Nürnberg 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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