Werder Bremen (K) 1-4 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
47%
+7.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.69/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.64
-62% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
18.6 Crosses 10.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
319 Passes 233
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
12.04.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1-4
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.76 xG 0.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 341
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) cruised past Werder Bremen (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 45% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 55%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Werder Bremen (K) and 1.50 for RB Leipzig (K).

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 1-4 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 54%, draw 20%, RB Leipzig (K) 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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