Dandenong Thunder 2-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
38%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
38%
Away Win
53%
-14.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.91/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.77
-40% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 25.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.60 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
22.03.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
29.07.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
28.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 4-2 HT 3-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
21.08.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
13.05.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 3-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder nicked a narrow win over Green Gully 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dandenong Thunder found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.50 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully?

Dandenong Thunder 2-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated an Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 32%, draw 29%, Green Gully 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Green Gully) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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