Green Gully 1-1 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2024

Green Gully
1-1 HT 1-0
Dandenong Thunder
📅22/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Green Gully v Dandenong Thunder — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.03/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.40
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.9 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 2.60
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
230 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
28.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 4-2 HT 3-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
21.08.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
13.05.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 3-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
21.05.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 2-2 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
07.03.2015 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-5 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully and Dandenong Thunder couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Green Gully at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Green Gully had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Green Gully and 1.67 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder?

Green Gully 1-1 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 41%, draw 26%, Dandenong Thunder 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Green Gully), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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