NE MetroStars 1-1 Modbury Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.35
No
35%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.1pp
35%
BTTS No
30%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 24%
-25% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.72/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.04
-22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Modbury Jets
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-3 HT 0-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
25.08.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-3 HT 2-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
11.08.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 0-1 HT 0-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
06.05.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 5-1 HT 4-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
03.10.2020 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 1-5 HT 0-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
14.08.2020 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 4-0 HT 2-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Modbury Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars and Modbury Jets couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was NE MetroStars at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for NE MetroStars and 1.17 for Modbury Jets.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Modbury Jets?

NE MetroStars 1-1 Modbury Jets in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Modbury Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 49%, draw 23%, Modbury Jets 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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