Melbourne Knights 2-5 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.60/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.36
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses 11.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hume City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.27 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
362 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 2-4 HT 1-3 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
30.04.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
02.07.2022 Hume City Hume City 3-1 HT 2-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
01.04.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
19.06.2021 Hume City Hume City 2-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
19.03.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City cruised past Melbourne Knights 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hume City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.33 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Hume City?

Melbourne Knights 2-5 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 40%, draw 25%, Hume City 35%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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