South Adelaide Panthers 3-4 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2024

📅22/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.8pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 50%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.35/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.03
-7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Adelaide Panthers
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 4-4 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
29.05.2021 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 2-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Raiders nicked a narrow win over South Adelaide Panthers 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Adelaide Raiders found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, South Adelaide Panthers had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for South Adelaide Panthers and 2.50 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide Raiders?

South Adelaide Panthers 3-4 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Adelaide Panthers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split South Adelaide Panthers 39%, draw 22%, Adelaide Raiders 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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