Dandenong Thunder 1-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

Dandenong Thunder
1-1 HT 0-0
Green Gully
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dandenong Thunder v Green Gully — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.91/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.10
-23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +85%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.9 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.60 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
29.07.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
28.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 4-2 HT 3-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
21.08.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-0 HT 2-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
13.05.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 3-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
21.05.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 2-2 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder and Green Gully shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Green Gully at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.67 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully?

Dandenong Thunder 1-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated an Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 33%, draw 23%, Green Gully 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Green Gully), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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