RFC Liege 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

RFC Liege
0-1 HT 0-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.07
Over Pick
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.78
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
23%
2.96
6+
12%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Liege v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.91/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.38
-11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.1 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
243 Passes 337
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 1-2 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
07.04.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
10.12.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2

RFC Liege 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
0-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.04 xG 1.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
360 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 27
41 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage squeezed past RFC Liege 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 20% / 40%) promised a tight game; Boussu Dour Borinage found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Liege had 59% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 41%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.04 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for RFC Liege and 1.00 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

RFC Liege 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 40%, draw 20%, Boussu Dour Borinage 40%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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