Dender EH 2-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.0
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.85
X/2
15%
5.45
X/X
10%
4.56
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.58
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.78/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
+21% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.4 Crosses 15.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
346 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-3 HT 2-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
16.02.2008 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.09.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH nicked a narrow win over St. Truidense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dender EH found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dender EH and 1.33 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs St. Truidense?

Dender EH 2-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 38%, draw 25%, St. Truidense 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
8 Feb 2025
18:00 Club Brugge vs OH Leuven Analysis →
22:45 Genk vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →