Siroki Brijeg 1-0 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1W-3D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 2-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
08.04.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
03.12.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
27.08.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1-0
AWAY GOSK Gabela
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg edged past GOSK Gabela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Siroki Brijeg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 62% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 38%, shots finished 22-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.00 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela?

Siroki Brijeg 1-0 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 55%, draw 24%, GOSK Gabela 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Siroki Brijeg)
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