Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shamal v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Al Shamal
KAT
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Shamal
KATYK
3-2
HT 1-2
Al Shamal
KAT
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Gharafa
KATYK
Al Shamal 1-2 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa nicked a narrow win over Al Shamal 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Al Shamal had 42% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.20 to 2.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Gharafa's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Shamal and 1.00 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa?
Al Shamal 1-2 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 32%, draw 24%, Al Gharafa 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.