Mathare United vs Gor Mahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mathare United v Gor Mahia — Team-Based Signals
Mathare United vs Gor Mahia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mathare United
KEN2
Mathare United 1-2 Gor Mahia — Actual Match Statistics
Gor Mahia edged past Mathare United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mathare United had 45% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 55%, shots finished 4-11.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mathare United and 2.50 for Gor Mahia.
What was the final score of Mathare United vs Gor Mahia?
Mathare United 1-2 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Gor Mahia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 21%, draw 18%, Gor Mahia 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.