Tusker 0-0 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.98/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.21
+22% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Police
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Police Police 1-1 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
05.03.2022 Tusker Tusker 1-1 HT 1-1 Police Police KEN2
03.11.2021 Police Police 1-2 HT 1-2 Tusker Tusker KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
0-0
AWAY Police
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker and Police played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Tusker had 53% of the ball to Police's 47%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tusker and 1.00 for Police.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Police?

Tusker 0-0 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tusker 33%, draw 31%, Police 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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