Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Feb 2025

Rakow Czestochowa
1-2 HT 0-1
Katowice
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Rakow Czestochowa vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.92
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.55
X/1
15%
3.83
X/2
10%
11.8
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
4%
25.0
2/2
4%
10.5
2/X
6%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rakow Czestochowa v Katowice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.83/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.44
-6% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +145% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.8 Crosses 11.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rakow Czestochowa vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Katowice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.71 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
247 Passes 375
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Katowice Katowice 0-1 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1-2
AWAY Katowice
1.15 xG 2.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
397 Passes 295
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
51 Box Touches 19
45 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice nicked a narrow win over Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 58% of the ball to Katowice's 42%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.15 to 2.25.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Katowice?

Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 54%, draw 27%, Katowice 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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