Piast Gliwice 1-0 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.43
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
12%
5.8
X/2
13%
5.17
X/X
10%
3.8
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.72
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.32/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.28
-19% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.6 Crosses 22.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
311 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-2 HT 1-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
17.03.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 2-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
16.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.02.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
05.08.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
18.04.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-0
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.21 xG 1.27
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 13
221 Passes 388
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Piast Gliwice made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 38% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 62%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.21 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Legia Varşova.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.33 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Legia Varşova?

Piast Gliwice 1-0 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 38%, draw 25%, Legia Varşova 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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