Varzim 1-2 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.33/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.17
+0% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Amarante
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Amarante Amarante 0-1 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
31.08.2024 Varzim Varzim 1-3 HT 0-2 Amarante Amarante POR3
24.09.2017 Amarante Amarante 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
1-2
AWAY Amarante
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante nicked a narrow win over Varzim 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Amarante made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 55% of the ball to Amarante's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amarante led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Varzim and 1.33 for Amarante.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Amarante?

Varzim 1-2 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Varzim 40%, draw 28%, Amarante 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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