Celje 1-2 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.57/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.31
+28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
266 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Maribor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
18.09.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
09.03.2024 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
12.11.2023 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
03.09.2023 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
29.04.2023 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
1-2
AWAY Maribor
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celje vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor edged past Celje 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Maribor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 64% of the ball to Maribor's 36%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Celje and 0.67 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Celje vs Maribor?

Celje 1-2 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Celje 40%, draw 27%, Maribor 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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