Muang Thong United 2-1 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

Muang Thong United
2-1 HT 0-1
Chiangrai United
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Muang Thong United v Chiangrai United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 17%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.80/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.48
+36% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.2 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.70 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
384 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 3-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
19.11.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 3-1 HT 2-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
27.02.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
17.10.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY

Muang Thong United 2-1 Chiangrai United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
2-1
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.86 xG 0.12
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
474 Passes 126
86% Pass Accuracy 60%
35 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United nicked a narrow win over Chiangrai United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 73% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 27%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.86 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Muang Thong United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.75 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United?

Muang Thong United 2-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 64%, draw 20%, Chiangrai United 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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