Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
30%
+11.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 48%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.91/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.01
+32% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
15.0 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.62 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 4-0 HT 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
02.04.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
30.10.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
14.11.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-2 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-1
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.31 xG 1.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
195 Passes 409
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima and Ratchaburi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nakhon Ratchasima at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 36% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 64%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 2.25 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Ratchaburi?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 42%, draw 23%, Ratchaburi 35%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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