Ratchaburi 4-0 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.16/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.19
-41% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.5 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
30.10.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
14.11.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-2 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
4-0
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
2.15 xG 0.10
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
465 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
43 Box Touches 1
31 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi cruised past Nakhon Ratchasima 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 63% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 37%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.15 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.33 for Nakhon Ratchasima.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Ratchaburi 4-0 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 55%, draw 23%, Nakhon Ratchasima 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
21 Sep 2024
14:00 Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uthai Thani Analysis →
16:00 Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior Analysis →