Sukhothai 4-0 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 48%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.07/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.99
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
15.2 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 0.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
222 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-2 HT 1-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAYLK
27.11.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 3-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
22.01.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-1 HT 0-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
4-0
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.86 xG 1.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 7
171 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai cruised past Lamphun Warrior 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lamphun Warrior at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sukhothai had 40% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 60%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.86 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sukhothai and 2.00 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior?

Sukhothai 4-0 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 32%, draw 23%, Lamphun Warrior 45%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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