Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uthai Thani Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nong Bua Pitchaya v Uthai Thani — Team-Based Signals
Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Uthai Thani — Actual Match Statistics
Nong Bua Pitchaya nicked a narrow win over Uthai Thani 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nong Bua Pitchaya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 45% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 55%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.61 to 1.97.
What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uthai Thani?
Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Uthai Thani?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nong Bua Pitchaya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 44%, draw 24%, Uthai Thani 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.