MSV Duisburg 4-2 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
4.07
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
9%
6.47
X/2
11%
5.6
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.26
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +26%
1.32/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
-3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
23.9 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Verl
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
124 Passes 408
58% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2025 Verl Verl 2-3 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
10.02.2024 Verl Verl 1-3 HT 1-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
15.09.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-3 HT 2-1 Verl Verl AL3
18.03.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 3-3 HT 2-2 Verl Verl AL3
18.09.2022 Verl Verl 1-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
14.05.2022 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
4-2
AWAY Verl
17% Ball Possession 83%
9 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
61 Passes 625
41% Pass Accuracy 89%
1 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg got the better of Verl 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and on the day MSV Duisburg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 17% of the ball to Verl's 83%, shots finished 9-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for MSV Duisburg and 1.83 for Verl.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Verl?

MSV Duisburg 4-2 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 42%, draw 22%, Verl 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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