Alemannia Aachen 3-3 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Stats & Model Review (Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Feb 2026)

Alemannia Aachen

3-3 HT 2-1

Rot-Weiss Essen

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗

Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

29%

2.8

Draw

26%

3.45

Away

45%

2.23

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46%

2.0

Over 2.5

54%

1.74

Both Teams to Score

Yes

57%

1.63

43%

2.13

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

26%

3.66

2-3 Goals

38%

1.81

4-5 Goals

25%

3.21

6+ Goals

11%

11.1

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

12%

4.45

1/2

24.85

1/X

13.5

X/1

11%

6.56

X/2

16%

5.24

X/X

13%

5.1

2/1 EV+ ✗

30.0

2/2

22%

3.15

2/X

13.1

Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

29%

Home Win

32%

-3.6pp

26%

Draw

26%

+0.3pp

45%

Away Win

42%

+3.2pp

46%

Under 2.5

46%

-0.1pp

54%

Over 2.5

54%

+0.1pp

57%

BTTS Yes

57%

-0.7pp

43%

BTTS No

43%

+0.7pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 36%

Head to Head

AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 45%

-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%

0.77/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.68

-41% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -25%

48% Ball Possession 52%

12 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 4

323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

23.6 Crosses 21.5

2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Alemannia Aachen

3W-1D-2L

AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen

1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50

45% Ball Possession 55%

13 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 6

238 Passes 326

70% Pass Accuracy 77%

14 Crosses 23

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

31.08.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen

2-3 HT 0-2

Alemannia Aachen AL3

19.01.2025 Alemannia Aachen

2-0 HT 0-0

Rot-Weiss Essen AL3

03.08.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen

1-2 HT 1-1

Alemannia Aachen AL3

16.07.2022 Alemannia Aachen

1-3 HT 0-1

Rot-Weiss Essen HAZ

10.04.2022 Alemannia Aachen

1-1 HT 0-1

Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL

30.10.2021 Rot-Weiss Essen

2-1 HT 1-1

Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL

Alemannia Aachen 3-3 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Alemannia Aachen

3-3

AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen

41% Ball Possession 59%

11 Total Shots 7

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 1

POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen and Rot-Weiss Essen couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 41% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 59%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Alemannia Aachen 3-3 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 29%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Essen 45%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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