Rot-Weiss Essen 2-3 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2025

Rot-Weiss Essen
2-3 HT 0-2
Alemannia Aachen
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
15%
3.98
X/2
9%
10.5
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1
7%
22.35
2/2
9%
8.64
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.48/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.24
+34% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.6 Crosses 13.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
320 Passes 277
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.01.2025 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
03.08.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
16.07.2022 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-3 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen HAZ
10.04.2022 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
15.05.2021 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-3 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2-3
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
331 Passes 198
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen edged past Rot-Weiss Essen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 59% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 41%, shots finished 21-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.33 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-3 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 53%, draw 25%, Alemannia Aachen 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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