Ulm 1846 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.53
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.55
X/2
9%
5.91
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.89
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 38%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.26/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.20
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
21.0 Crosses 21.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 3-1 HT 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
17.09.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
06.12.2013 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-2 HT 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
1-2
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 10
225 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim nicked a narrow win over Ulm 1846 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ulm 1846 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 46% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 54%, shots finished 17-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ulm 1846 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ulm 1846 and 1.00 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Ulm 1846 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 44%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulm 1846) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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