Ulm 1846 3-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.1
X/2
7%
8.04
X/X
16%
4.82
2/1
5%
23.75
2/2
13%
6.15
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
2.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.80
+31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
Crosses 9.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
06.12.2013 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-2 HT 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
3-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 saw off Waldhof Mannheim 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 57% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 43%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ulm 1846 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ulm 1846 and 1.00 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Ulm 1846 3-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 45%, draw 30%, Waldhof Mannheim 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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