Preussen Münster 1-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Feb 2024

Preussen Münster
1-1 HT 0-1
Sandhausen
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Preussen Münster vs Sandhausen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
20%
4.73
X/2
6%
6.94
X/X
12%
5.12
2/1
10%
22.9
2/2
10%
4.7
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preussen Münster v Sandhausen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.96/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.36
+26% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.5 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Preussen Münster vs Sandhausen Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
6 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
21.04.2012 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-2 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
19.11.2011 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster and Sandhausen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Preussen Münster at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.33 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Sandhausen?

Preussen Münster 1-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 49%, draw 26%, Sandhausen 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Preussen Münster) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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