Jahn Regensburg 1-3 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Feb 2024

Jahn Regensburg
1-3 HT 0-1
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Jahn Regensburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.81
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.64
X/2
8%
6.86
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.15
2/2
16%
4.85
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.15 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.54/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.39
-2% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Jahn Regensburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3

Jahn Regensburg 1-3 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1-3
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen beat Jahn Regensburg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 64% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 36%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Jahn Regensburg 1-3 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 45%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Essen 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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