Dynamo Dresden 7-2 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.74
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.64
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
19.75
X/1
18%
3.4
X/2
5%
15.35
X/X
10%
6.31
2/1
10%
23.3
2/2
9%
12.7
2/X
7%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-5.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.88/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
-1% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
397 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 179 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lübeck
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
14.02.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-1 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
17.10.2020 Lübeck Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
7-2
AWAY Lübeck
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden cruised past Lübeck 7-2. Half-time: 4-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 60% of the ball to Lübeck's 40%, shots finished 23-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 0.33 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Lübeck?

Dynamo Dresden 7-2 Lübeck in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 61%, draw 21%, Lübeck 18%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ BTTS No
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