Verl vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Verl v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals
Verl vs MSV Duisburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Verl
AL3
3-3
HT 2-2
Verl
AL3
1-0
HT 0-0
MSV Duisburg
AL3
1-1
HT 0-1
MSV Duisburg
AL3
2-2
HT 1-1
Verl
AL3
1-2
HT 0-1
MSV Duisburg
AL3
Verl 1-3 MSV Duisburg — Actual Match Statistics
MSV Duisburg beat Verl 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Verl at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Verl had 56% of the ball to MSV Duisburg's 44%, shots finished 16-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Verl and 1.67 for MSV Duisburg.
What was the final score of Verl vs MSV Duisburg?
Verl 1-3 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Verl vs MSV Duisburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Verl 42%, draw 24%, MSV Duisburg 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.