Freiburg II 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Feb 2024

Freiburg II
0-3 HT 0-1
Arminia Bielefeld
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Freiburg II vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.37
1/2
6%
23.75
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
13%
7.3
X/2
20%
4.35
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.61
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg II v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.34/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.93
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Freiburg II vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3

Freiburg II 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg II
0-3
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld swept aside Freiburg II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Freiburg II had 54% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 46%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Freiburg II 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 29%, draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Under 2.5
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