Sturm Graz 1-0 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 8 Feb 2026

Sturm Graz
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Ried
📅08/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Sturm Graz vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.95
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.82
6+
5%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.45
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.25
X/2
12%
6.19
X/X
18%
4.44
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2
18%
4.43
2/X
5%
13.65
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Sturm Graz v Ried — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sturm Graz The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried The Market 36%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
1.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Sturm Graz vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ried
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.79 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
322 Passes 238
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2025 Ried Ried 1-3 HT 1-3 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
28.08.2024 Ried Ried 1-3 HT 1-3 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVK
30.10.2022 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-1 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
06.08.2022 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
06.03.2022 Ried Ried 2-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
27.10.2021 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-2 HT 0-1 Ried Ried AUK

Sturm Graz 1-0 Ried — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
1 - 0
AWAY Ried
0.69 xG 0.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
224 Passes 174
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sturm Graz vs Ried
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sturm Graz nicked a narrow win over Ried 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 29% / 32%); Sturm Graz picked one for it.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.

By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Sturm Graz's favour, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.69 to 0.55.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Sturm Graz against 1.33 for Ried.

Sturm Graz vs Ried Result & Final Score

Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Ried in the Austria - Bundesliga on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sturm Graz vs Ried Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 40%, draw 29%, Ried 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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