Saint Eloi Lupopo 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
13%
4.93
6+ Goals
6%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 40% vs market 36.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.32
1/2
4%
30.5
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
12%
8.2
X/2
17%
4.16
X/X
18%
3.98
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.63
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint Eloi Lupopo EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 54%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.23/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.25
+45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.0 Crosses 3.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint Eloi Lupopo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.49 xG 2.45
19% Ball Possession 81%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
78 Passes 646
67% Pass Accuracy 93%
9 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 HT 1-1 Saint Eloi Lupopo Saint Eloi Lupopo CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint Eloi Lupopo
1-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.90 xG 0.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
148 Passes 300
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saint Eloi Lupopo vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint Eloi Lupopo and Mamelodi Sundowns couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Saint Eloi Lupopo had 38% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 62%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.90 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Saint Eloi Lupopo vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Saint Eloi Lupopo 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint Eloi Lupopo vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saint Eloi Lupopo 27%, draw 30%, Mamelodi Sundowns 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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