Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stade Malien Bamako v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals
Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Stade Malien Bamako
CAFKK
Stade Malien Bamako 1-0 ES Tunis — Actual Match Statistics
Stade Malien Bamako edged past ES Tunis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (29% / 37% / 34%) promised a tight game; Stade Malien Bamako found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stade Malien Bamako had 40% of the ball to ES Tunis's 60%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.35 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stade Malien Bamako had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Malien Bamako and 0.50 for ES Tunis.
What was the final score of Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis?
Stade Malien Bamako 1-0 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stade Malien Bamako vs ES Tunis?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 29%, draw 37%, ES Tunis 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.