San Pedro 2-3 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 8 Feb 2026

San Pedro
2-3 HT 2-2
USM Alger
📅08/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2025/2026

San Pedro vs USM Alger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
13%
4.92
6+ Goals
6%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 40% vs market 36.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Pedro v USM Alger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Pedro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.13/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.23
+119% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
10.5 Crosses 14.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

San Pedro vs USM Alger Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Pedro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.78 xG 2.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
139 Passes 526
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
3 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.11.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 3-2 HT 1-0 San Pedro San Pedro CAFKK

San Pedro 2-3 USM Alger — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Pedro
2-3
AWAY USM Alger
2.85 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
256 Passes 464
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Pedro vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger nicked a narrow win over San Pedro 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day USM Alger made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Pedro had 38% of the ball to USM Alger's 62%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.85 to 1.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Pedro.

What was the final score of San Pedro vs USM Alger?

San Pedro 2-3 USM Alger in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Pedro vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated an USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Pedro 29%, draw 33%, USM Alger 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFKK More CAF Konfederasyon Cup
8 Feb 2026
16:00 Nairobi United vs Wydad Casablanca Analysis →
16:00 Otoho dOyo vs Stellenbosch FC Analysis →
16:00 Kaizer Chiefs vs Al Masry Analysis →
16:00 ZESCO United vs Zamalek Analysis →
19:00 Singida Black Stars vs Belouizdad Analysis →
22:00 Olympic Safi vs Djoliba Analysis →