Para Hills Knights 2-1 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.7pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Para Hills Knights
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Adelaide United II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
19.09.2020 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
18.07.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 3-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Para Hills Knights nicked a narrow win over Adelaide United II 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Para Hills Knights found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Para Hills Knights and 2.00 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide United II?

Para Hills Knights 2-1 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Para Hills Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Para Hills Knights 39%, draw 24%, Adelaide United II 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Para Hills Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Para Hills Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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