Martigues 3-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.09
2-3 Goals
33%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.1
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.85
X/1
16%
4.27
X/2
10%
6.87
X/X
17%
3.42
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
6.01
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.93/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.81
+38% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +66%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rouen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Rouen Rouen 0-0 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
3-1
AWAY Rouen
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues got the better of Rouen 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Martigues found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Martigues had 56% of the ball to Rouen's 44%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Rouen?

Martigues 3-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Martigues win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Martigues 40%, draw 34%, Rouen 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Martigues) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Martigues) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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