Monts dOr Azergues 4-1 Avranches — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
7%
8.15
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.47
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monts dOr Azergues EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Avranches EU Bookmakers 27%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -28%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.55
-100% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Avranches
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Avranches Avranches 1-1 HT 0-0 Monts dOr Azergues Monts dOr Azergues FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
4-1
AWAY Avranches
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monts dOr Azergues vs Avranches
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monts dOr Azergues cruised past Avranches 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monts dOr Azergues as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Monts dOr Azergues had 46% of the ball to Avranches's 54%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Monts dOr Azergues vs Avranches?

Monts dOr Azergues 4-1 Avranches in the France - National League 1 on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monts dOr Azergues vs Avranches?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monts dOr Azergues win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monts dOr Azergues 49%, draw 27%, Avranches 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monts dOr Azergues) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monts dOr Azergues) ✗ BTTS No
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