Nimes 2-1 Cholet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Mar 2024

Nimes
2-1 HT 0-1
Cholet
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
10%
7.11
X/X
14%
4.16
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
28.5
2/2
8%
5.81
2/X
6%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cholet EU Bookmakers 29%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -27%
1.00/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.73
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cholet
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.09.2023 Cholet Cholet 0-2 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
2-1
AWAY Cholet
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Cholet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes edged past Cholet 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nimes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nimes had 56% of the ball to Cholet's 44%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Cholet?

Nimes 2-1 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Cholet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nimes 50%, draw 26%, Cholet 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nimes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nimes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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